São Paulo RSvsFutebol Com Vida
Gaúcho - 3 · Brazil0–1FT
1X2Awaiting data
GOALSAwaiting data
BTTSAwaiting data
Complete prediction not yet available
THE DAILY FOOTBALL INTELLIGENCE DESK
Football Prediction Intelligence
Discover where the football data aligns, where it disagrees, and how much historical evidence supports each market. One blended view, thousands of fixtures, seven probability outcomes.
Updated 15 Oct, 23:27 UTC Refreshes automatically · all times local or UTC
FIXTURES253
COMPLETE RESEARCH181
STRONG RESULT AGREEMENT37
DATED MARKET QUOTES101
LIVE NOW1
PROVEN RESULTS · EXPLORATORY DATA
Historical prediction accuracy
Home55.0%549/998
Draw37.0%17/46
Away50.0%264/528
Over 2.569.8%632/906
Under 2.552.4%349/666
Yes62.7%566/903
No48.6%325/669
A prediction counts when that outcome was the model’s unique highest probability within its market group. Every percentage includes its wins/selection count. Small samples and archived-model timestamp limitations must be considered before interpreting performance.
MODEL REALITY CHECK
Do predicted chances resemble real outcomes?
Home win
Avg. predicted41.5%
Actual outcomes46.4%
1460 matched FT fixtures · binary Brier 0.227 (lower is better)Over 2.5
Avg. predicted52.7%
Actual outcomes60.2%
1460 matched FT fixtures · binary Brier 0.230 (lower is better)BTTS Yes
Avg. predicted51.6%
Actual outcomes57.3%
1460 matched FT fixtures · binary Brier 0.246 (lower is better)These figures describe calibration in the available archived cohort; they do not prove predictive performance on unseen matches. Source timestamps for part of the original historical archive remain incompletely certified.
RESEARCH WORKSPACE
Find matches worth investigating
CURATED BY YOUR FILTERS
253 matching fixtures
Signals are calculated from aggregated statistical inputs. A high percentage with poor agreement deserves extra scrutiny.
Athletic ClubvsLondrina
Serie B · Brazil2–2FT
1X2Awaiting data
GOALSAwaiting data
BTTSAwaiting data
Complete prediction not yet available
TapatíovsTepatitlán
Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico4–1FT
1X2Awaiting data
GOALSAwaiting data
BTTSAwaiting data
Complete prediction not yet available
USA WvsSpain W
Friendlies Women · World2–2FT
1X2Awaiting data
GOALSAwaiting data
BTTSAwaiting data
Complete prediction not yet available
BucaramangavsÁguilas Doradas
Primera A · Colombia1–1FT
1X2Awaiting data
GOALSAwaiting data
BTTSAwaiting data
Complete prediction not yet available
Brazil WvsArgentina W
Friendlies Women · World2–2FT
1X2Awaiting data
GOALSAwaiting data
BTTSAwaiting data
Complete prediction not yet available
CS CartaginesvsPuntarenas FC
Primera División · Costa-Rica3–1FT
1X2
Home54%
GOALS
Under 2.553%
BTTS
Yes52%
Aligned3 of 3 inputs agree on match result✓ Preferred 1X2 result won
Portmore UnitedvsViolette AC
CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship · World3–1FT
1X2
Away49%
GOALS
Under 2.560%
BTTS
No59%
Disputed2 of 3 inputs agree on match resultPreferred 1X2 result did not win
Boca JuniorsvsVasco DA Gama
CONMEBOL Sudamericana · World0–1FT
1X2
Home46%
GOALS
Under 2.558%
BTTS
No56%
Aligned3 of 3 inputs agree on match resultPreferred 1X2 result did not win
Panama WvsNew Zealand W
Friendlies Women · World00:30CANC
1X2
Draw40%
GOALS
Under 2.576%
BTTS
No68%
Disputed1 of 3 inputs agree on match result
Mexico WvsJamaica W
Friendlies Women · World3–1FT
1X2Awaiting data
GOALSAwaiting data
BTTSAwaiting data
Complete prediction not yet available
MillonariosvsOnce Caldas
Primera A · Colombia01:30PST
1X2
Home45%
GOALS
Under 2.556%
BTTS
Yes50%
Aligned3 of 3 inputs agree on match result
San CarlosvsInter San Carlos
Primera División · Costa-Rica1–2FT
1X2
Home43%
GOALS
Under 2.566%
BTTS
No60%
Disputed2 of 3 inputs agree on match resultPreferred 1X2 result did not win
DerenvsErchim
Premier League · Mongolia5–0FT
1X2
Home62%
GOALS
Over 2.576%
BTTS
Yes56%
Disputed2 of 3 inputs agree on match result✓ Preferred 1X2 result won
Melbourne VictoryvsFC Seoul
AFC Champions League Two · World3–0FT
1X2
Home40%
GOALS
Under 2.568%
BTTS
No58%
Disputed1 of 3 inputs agree on match result✓ Preferred 1X2 result won
UlaanbaatarvsKhovd Western
Premier League · Mongolia8–0FT
1X2
Home85%
GOALS
Over 2.586%
BTTS
Yes61%
Mostly aligned3 of 3 inputs agree on match result✓ Preferred 1X2 result won
Metalist 1925 U19vsKolos Kovalivka U19
U19 League · Ukraine2–0FT
1X2
Home42%
GOALS
Over 2.562%
BTTS
Yes61%
Aligned3 of 3 inputs agree on match result✓ Preferred 1X2 result won
Ska-khabarovskvsDinamo Kirov
Cup · Russia2–0FT
1X2
Home52%
GOALS
Over 2.560%
BTTS
No56%
Disputed2 of 3 inputs agree on match result✓ Preferred 1X2 result won
Bodø / Glimt U19vsBorussia Dortmund U19
UEFA Youth League · World0–5FT
1X2
Away57%
GOALS
Over 2.582%
BTTS
Yes67%
Disputed2 of 3 inputs agree on match result✓ Preferred 1X2 result won
Dynamo Kyiv U19vsKarpaty Lviv U19
U19 League · Ukraine1–0FT
1X2
Home52%
GOALS
Over 2.560%
BTTS
Yes56%
Disputed3 of 3 inputs agree on match result✓ Preferred 1X2 result won
Yokohama FCvsUrawa
J-League Cup · Japan0–4FT
1X2
Home42%
GOALS
Over 2.572%
BTTS
Yes69%
Aligned3 of 3 inputs agree on match resultPreferred 1X2 result did not win
LASK U19vsLiverpool U19
UEFA Youth League · World2–4FT
1X2
Draw46%
GOALS
Under 2.564%
BTTS
No59%
Disputed2 of 3 inputs agree on match resultPreferred 1X2 result did not win
Kairat U19vsMladost DG U19
UEFA Youth League · World8–1FT
1X2
Home77%
GOALS
Over 2.572%
BTTS
No62%
Disputed3 of 3 inputs agree on match result✓ Preferred 1X2 result won
Kashiwa ReysolvsPort FC
AFC Champions League Elite · World5–1FT
1X2
Home36%
GOALS
Over 2.551%
BTTS
Yes57%
Disputed1 of 3 inputs agree on match result✓ Preferred 1X2 result won
Vissel KobevsJeonbuk Motors
AFC Champions League Elite · World2–0FT
1X2
Home38%
GOALS
Over 2.551%
BTTS
Yes58%
Disputed1 of 3 inputs agree on match result✓ Preferred 1X2 result won
Gainare TottorivsCerezo Osaka
J-League Cup · Japan2–3FT
1X2
Home41%
GOALS
Over 2.554%
BTTS
Yes55%
Mostly aligned2 of 3 inputs agree on match resultPreferred 1X2 result did not win
Jubilo IwatavsKawasaki Frontale
J-League Cup · Japan0–4FT
1X2
Away41%
GOALS
Over 2.551%
BTTS
No56%
Disputed2 of 3 inputs agree on match result✓ Preferred 1X2 result won
Mito HollyhockvsFC Tokyo
J-League Cup · Japan1–0FT
1X2
Draw46%
GOALS
Under 2.559%
BTTS
No61%
Disputed2 of 3 inputs agree on match resultPreferred 1X2 result did not win
Nagoya GrampusvsFagiano Okayama
J-League Cup · Japan3–3PEN
1X2
Home41%
GOALS
Over 2.559%
BTTS
Yes59%
Mostly aligned2 of 3 inputs agree on match resultPreferred 1X2 result did not win
Sagan TosuvsAvispa Fukuoka
J-League Cup · Japan2–1FT
1X2
Home39%
GOALS
Over 2.555%
BTTS
Yes59%
Mostly aligned2 of 3 inputs agree on match result✓ Preferred 1X2 result won
RESEARCH INTERPRETATION
How to read the signals
Agreement measures how often the underlying statistical inputs choose the same result. Spread measures the difference between the highest and lowest underlying probabilities. Both are descriptive, not calibrated guarantees.
Accuracy uses settled historical fixtures and the predicted market’s unique leading probability, with sample counts shown. Historical archived evidence has timestamp limitations; league results may have small samples.
Market edge is (probability × decimal odds − 1). A positive value is an estimated theoretical edge, not a promise of profit. Displayed prices are snapshots and may no longer be available.
HISTORICAL MARKET RESEARCH · PROVISIONAL
Historical illustrative ROI
Home-5.7%225 selected
Draw—0 selected
Away-5.5%63 selected
Over 2.5+4.5%456 selected
Under 2.5-4.5%435 selected
Yes+0.3%273 selected
No-6.3%234 selected
Backtested flat stakes using pre-kickoff dated bookmaker snapshots. These results are provisional research, not actual trades or independently certified performance.